Has AI changed our view on
real estate markets, theories
and research approaches?

Thies Lindenthal  ·  University of Cambridge  ·  2026

lindenthal.eu/talks/talk-ai-re-research

Moving up the value chain...
Am I still useful in the research process? Does a human competitive edge remain?

Comparison of Core Research Competencies (my self-perception)

50 years of real estate research
1,676 REE articles + top-journal subsets embedded and clustered into a research space

Where do AI-generated ideas land?
Each dot is a generated idea projected into the research space

A: Naïve generation, based on LLM training only
B: Full REE corpus provided as context
C: Transfer of research methods and ideas from Econ/Finance
D: Transfer of research methods and ideas from Psychology
Universe, all journals
REE
Generated ideas

Comparing generated research ideas
Unconstrained variant (a); 100 ideas per condition except C (51, one per cluster)

Condition Clusters HHI Atypicality Periph./REE NN dist./REE Pred. cit.
A — Naïve21 / 510.0700.726 ± 0.1803.162.5711.9
B — Full REE corpus23 / 510.0740.707 ± 0.2482.752.4811.9
C — Cluster-seeded31 / 510.0430.720 ± 0.2062.892.4811.5
D — Method transfer (econ/fin)25 / 510.0890.735 ± 0.1473.702.1913.4
E — Method transfer (psych)21 / 510.1120.693 ± 0.2101.852.7011.2
F — Paradigm transfer (econ/fin)23 / 510.0800.735 ± 0.1584.362.2113.1
G — Paradigm transfer (psych)15 / 510.1610.632 ± 0.2511.742.6711.2
H — Citation-guided27 / 510.0660.729 ± 0.1792.802.3612.5

Predicting impact of ideas
Predicted 5-year citations by generation condition — constrained variant

\( log(1 + Citations_i) = \alpha + \beta_1\log(Age_i) + \beta_2 Atypicality_i + \beta_3 NN.dist_i + \beta_4 log(frontier.dist_i) \) \( + \beta_5 cluster.mean.cit_i + Journal.FE_i +\epsilon_i \)
\(R^2 = 0.182\); \(n = 1,074\); evaluated at REE baseline, age = 5